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The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. What does the bench of Democratic leadership look like beyond Biden? Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. Feb. 25, 2021. info. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. In the main event, former light The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. 2,. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. 04:58 PM. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. This is the second episode. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. . The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. Today those numbers have flipped. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. Dive in and Share your insights! Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. robert kraft granddaughter. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. Transcripts by Erin Wade. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. Instagram did not return a 200. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn Happy holidays! Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. Thats Changing. Galen speaks with him. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics.