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Whoa. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Is that an African fly or a European one? For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. That's 150,000 generations. Same to all of us. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Now things start getting interesting. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. Step 3. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. A lovely day to you. But lets think about this some more. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Now things start getting interesting. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Based on the data from the CDC . The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Part of HuffPost Wellness. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Even if they couldn't read them yet. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). Step 2. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. On one try. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Its maddening to see people worry so much. I would call that a personal relationship with God. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . But let's think about this some more. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. Step 3. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. Please pass this post along. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count.